There is, however, limited choice. All signs point to Henry Tang as being Beijing's favourite, but events are not going so well for Tang at the moment.
He has lost some credibility with the Hong Kong public in recent times.
After Tang had an affair, the message from his wife was that she would 'stand by her man'. Mrs Tang's stance made her husband's infidelity almost forgivable in the public's eye, until accusations of an illegally constructed personal wine cellar arose. When questioned about it, Tang implied his wife was responsible for the misdeed.
If Henry Tang is no longer flavour of the month for Beijing, then who else could step into the shoes of Chief Executive and still do China's bidding?
According to the nomination table at the elections.gov.hk website, only two candidates have so far officially posted their intent to run for the post: favourite Henry Tang (TANG Ying-yen) and Albert Ho (HO Chun-yan).
Albert Ho is a popular character with the Hong Kong public, being the Chairman of the Democratic Party. However, it is the Election Committee members, not the public, who currently vote for the new Chief Executive.
Other possible strong contenders could be Leung Chun-ying, Regina Ip, and Jasper Tsang Yok-sing. If Henry Tang sinks in the sands of controversy, it is anyone's guess to whom Beijing's favour might fall.
This is where China needs to get it right. This is the last Chief Executive election before the 2017 deadline. That is the year Beijing has said Hong Kong will attain universal suffrage. It then all depends on who Beijing will allow to stand for election in future, rather than who can vote.
If the Chinese government use the 2012 election to gain the confidence of the Hong Kong public, future elections should be easier to manage. If they get it wrong, Hong Kong will continue to be suspicious of political dealings with Beijing.


